Data Science Case Studies

Models that survive contact with reality.

This section covers the work where modeling and product meet: forecast quality systems, localization logic, tokenomics simulations, experimentation analysis, and interactive tools that help people think more clearly about probability and operational risk.

Forecasting Model evaluation Localization systems Interactive tools

Applied data science · Updated September 2026

From an experiment to an operating product

My data-science work connects a model's output to the person who needs to use it. That means defining the target, the information available at prediction time and the evidence needed before a result can move beyond research. A good aggregate score is a starting point; slices, failure cases and reproducibility decide whether it is useful.

Running a live WNBA model follows the collection, evaluation and promotion cycle behind a read-only advisory product. It is not an automated trading system. When a backtest meets the real world examines comparable experiments, execution assumptions and the gaps that remain in forward-testing evidence.

Computer vision adds another kind of uncertainty: the labels themselves can be wrong. The snooker error review separates missed objects from extra detections and annotation disagreements. Reading the ice connects geometry and perception to an inspectable curling scene, while keeping automated-reference agreement distinct from human-ground-truth accuracy.

The earlier studies below cover forecasting, simulation and interactive probability tools. For the full current collection, browse quantitative research or sports intelligence.

World of Warships Drop Simulator Case Study

An unofficial decision-support tool that turns drop-rate assumptions and pity rules into clear probability curves, expected values, and collection odds.

Read the ship-drop simulator case study
World of Warships ship drop simulator preview

Football Localisation with Context Cartridges

A localization pattern that keeps generated sports content culturally native without letting the model invent the wrong teams, references, or tone.

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Locale controls for context cartridges

Forecast Quality Beyond WAPE

A pragmatic evaluation system for deciding whether a model is safe to ship, not just numerically impressive.

Explore the forecast-quality framework
Forecast quality framework flowchart

Post-Launch Smart-Contract Data Lessons

What the first launch cycle exposed about reward bugs, reporting gaps, and the data roadmap needed to keep the system legible.

Read the post-launch smart-contract lessons
Year one data roadmap density chart

Oracle-Node Penalty Design

A penalty-design exercise balancing operator incentives, fault tolerance, and the need to keep bad behavior economically unattractive.

Read the oracle-node penalty design case study
Oracle slashing visualization

Investor-Unlock Scenario Simulation

A scenario simulator built to show how unlock design changes sell pressure, allocation dynamics, and governance conversations.

Explore the investor-unlock scenarios
Investor unlock sell pressure chart

How App-Store Rank Affects Sales

A mixed econometrics and feature-importance study on how app rankings, impressions, and sales actually interact.

Read the app-store ranking analysis
Chart positioning analysis preview

Advanced Forecasting with Prophet

A practical forecasting workflow for turning messy game-sales data into explainable predictions without building a bespoke model stack from scratch.

Read the Prophet forecasting workflow
Prophet forecasting preview